It's quite funny that CNBC published a press release statement article through Reuters on their website that started a market panic. I then noticed only a half hour later they deleted the release completely. Earlier today at 10:26 AM our treasury secretary Timothy Geithner said that if US congress doesn't raise the debt ceiling that we will default by March 31st of 2011. My friends, family, and colleagues that is only 1 month and 3 weeks away. All I have to say is get ready for the big panic that Wall Street is about to endure. If Congress doesn't act or put some type of statement out soon, I am betting that a large panic is about to occur. I am shorting just about everything I can get my hands on. For the rest of you stupid chart trading technical analysts, I will see your accounts marginally lower. Good day!
Timothy Geithner press release
Thursday, January 6, 2011
Tuesday, January 4, 2011
What is The Venus Project?
It's useless to criticize the culture without providing alternatives. The Venus Project proposes plans for social change that work toward a peaceful and sustainable global civilization. It outlines an alternative social design where human rights are not just paper proclamations, but a way of life. The Venus Project has a vision of what the future can be if we apply what we already know to achieve a sustainable world civilization. It calls for a scientific redesign of our culture in which war, poverty, hunger, debt, and unnecessary human, suffering are viewed as not only avoidable, but unacceptable. Anything less will result in a disastrous continuation of the problems inherent in today's world.
Simply stated, a resource-based economy focuses on resources rather than money, and provides an equitable distribution thereof in a humane and efficient manner. It is a system in which goods and services are available without the use of money, credit, barter, debt, or servitude.
The first objective is to eliminate scarcity. A resource-based economy overcomes scarcity by using renewable sources of energy, plus computerized automated manufacturing and inventory. It would design safe energy-efficient cities with advanced transportation systems, and would provide universal health care and more relevant education.
The aim of this new social design is to encourage an incentive system based on human and environmental concerns, and to avoid the shallow and self-centered goals of individual wealth, property, and power. These new incentives would help people evolve self-fulfillment and creativity, both materially and spiritually.
Simply stated, a resource-based economy focuses on resources rather than money, and provides an equitable distribution thereof in a humane and efficient manner. It is a system in which goods and services are available without the use of money, credit, barter, debt, or servitude.
The first objective is to eliminate scarcity. A resource-based economy overcomes scarcity by using renewable sources of energy, plus computerized automated manufacturing and inventory. It would design safe energy-efficient cities with advanced transportation systems, and would provide universal health care and more relevant education.
The aim of this new social design is to encourage an incentive system based on human and environmental concerns, and to avoid the shallow and self-centered goals of individual wealth, property, and power. These new incentives would help people evolve self-fulfillment and creativity, both materially and spiritually.
Technical Analysts have a gift of losing
I love when you have traders come out on TV and over the damn internets and talk about how the market is overbought. First off, these guys don't have a damn clue about how markets operate. Prices don't know they are overbought or oversold. There is no such thing because prices are not objective. (Although in the eyes of a chartist it appears that way when they talk about things like a $50 price level and $100 level. It's as if these things are the reasons why a company is succeeding outside of the stock market. Remember that the stock market exists because companies are doing business, not the other way around. So how can prices ever matter?) There is a certain sentiment/psychology taking place in the markets and the charts are deaf, dumb and blind. Too bad most newbies get persuaded into thinking that Technical Analysts are these smart men because today the practice has so many terms and people following it, that it sounds more convincing than listening to an old fashioned CFO about his company, or monitoring the news and economy as you hear it. Newbies are being misled by other failures who now teach what they never could successfully do themselves. Just to make a point, think about how many technical analysts were talking jibberish and chart nonsense at these times in history.
Sunday, January 2, 2011
Momentum is the root cause of a stock's surge in price?
Plain and simple, if you believe in this (momentum trading) attitude of making money then you've got the game backwards and are probably still looking at the future in hopes of creating the right system and set of rules of how to correctly buy a stock on the way up with the use of charts as your guideline. LMFAO! This is the biggest illusion in the chart trader's gambling mind. Sure a rise in a stock looks great in hindsight and the momentum seems so obvious when looking back in time but that sure isn't the case when you've tried it. Don't believe me? Then please once again go right ahead and take as much time as you need and I can bet anyone any amount of dollars that as the mistakes pile up, one will continuously change and restructure their theory so that it can explain why they kept getting it wrong in the past and how to avoid making that same mistake in the future. Unknowingly to the aspiring mind of this person who wants to do this for a living so badly, this idea of learning from your mistakes (as so diligently advocated by these subscription based websites and guru teacher's who want you to trade for their prop shop firms so that they make a business out of your trading back and forth) will continue to dis-illusion the trader into believing he will eventually get it right because he is learning, and learning takes time and flexibility right? WRONG! And please let me explain why this strategy of chasing a stock based on price and volume (otherwise known as momentum) is not the result of buying stocks on the move but instead extreme discipline and calculated money management. That will also explain why gamblers seem to go some time successfully scalping .05 - .10, to .20 on stocks that are in play with high amounts of volume and price volatility when instead they could have had the same success trading stocks that trade in a natural $1 - $2 range. (It's also quite hilarious when looking at a trade sheet of one of these traders as they continuously make such small amounts of gains on these stocks that have notable interested buying and at the end of the day the stock ends up $5 dollars higher. One might ask why didn't you just hold the stock and why did you keep trading for .10 and .20? The traders will argue that there was no way to know it was going to be up $5 dollars on the day, and I say they're right since they don't understand why the stock is up at all because they are engulfed in the idea of chart trading which holds 0 relevance as to why stocks exist and trade in the first place.) Momentum is not the cause of a stocks move but instead its an affect , and an affect as we all know is the sum of all output and energy not the cause of it. Let me explain a situation so the illustration is clear.
Larger companies like AAPL and CMG, although high flying stocks by nature due to elements I won't talk about here, are excluded from this example because I want to make a point about stocks that have smaller market caps and can be moved inside of a decision made by one decent fund. But I won't use a stock example that trades under a $1,000,000 per day in dollar volume because of the wide spreads between the bids and offers that can make the stock seem tradeable to the naked eye but experience will show you that being able to step in front of large orders that are sometimes placed in a blink of an eye are not realistic.
Let's say company XYZ trades 3 million dollar shares a day. Hedge fund ABC gets a note from an insider or friend that company XYZ has good news and numbers coming out next week. Hedge fund ABC decides that they will invest $30 million dollars in company XYZ but they don't wish to do it all in one day since it might be difficult to maintain the attractive $5 dollars a share they wish to recieve. (Just remember that this example so far alone already debunks the idea that stocks move up based on momentum but instead some logical, or in some cases illogical factors based on hope, trust and deception) They also decide that if it takes longer than a week to acquire these shares then they risk rumors and other insiders getting the information and the price may get away from them as the super computer algorithms and the nosey ass quant strategies begin to take advantage of these alarming statistics when the fund begins its first day of operations.
So the fund begins its buying and the order is placed with a specialist who tries to buy the first $10 million dollars worth on Monday which brings that day's volume naturally to 5 million shares. Now lets say the fund was able to acquire his shares anywhere between $5 - $5.35 that day. Now the end of the day brainwashed day traders begin their systematic scans of stocks up 5% on the day and 75% increase the average volume. Now the degenerate gamblers are ready. Company XYZ opens up at $5.40 the next day due to macro market factors and some specifically interested pre(Lets keep something in mind here and that's that these smaller company's numbers are a lot more unpredictable since coverage of such companies and their sources of revenue can be less consistent. These small companies will sell stock at times in an attempt to help polish their balance sheets and the whole concept is just a mess imo and you can never trust their numbers unless you've truly done your homework, in which none of this buying would be a surprise or a guess anyway.) They must make this trade since the commitment to ideas and emotions are not isolated to individual trading minds alone. So the stock hits $5.50 Tuesday afternoon with above average volume coming from many sources but still none from fund ABC. The close is getting near and the opportunity is slipping away. The fund moves in with $100,000 clip buys every 10 min for the last three hours of trading to meet their quota. By then the price is moving up in .10 increments making it harder for the fund to continue their high probable idea since they know the unexpected news and numbers coming out in the next week are trying to be anticipated by those who are trying to buy the stock based on many different rumors and ideas, we call these guys over-night traders. So in hopes fund ABC being able to get their $45 million dollar investment (which btw if your smart enough to do your due diligence you'll probably learn that the fund is actually getting paid and reimbursed for purchasing common shares of company XYZ through some type of scheme one way or another) it decides to not take breaks in their buying because now they think the rumors are spreading like wildfire and the price can only go higher from here. The rest of the price move becomes history as daytraders and computers all over the world try to front run and guess what will happen next using nothing more than math and lines on a chart. So the idiotic reason these daytraders are buying have nothing to do with higher prices, so their disillusioned drawings were mere coincidences.
Just remember how easy it is for the fund to pull the plug and stop buying at any moment which would make the move more unpredictable since it wasn't based on anything solid. Therefore if momentum was to be considered as a valid theory or trading strategy one would have to assume that prices would need exact calculations based on laws such as the law of gravity. And since humans cannot be defined to one set of rules because we're emotional and our decisions can vary based on unpredictable emotional factors its fair to conclude that momentum is nothing more than an idea. To make my point clear, what I'm trying to say is that momentum is an affect and impossible to understand in a stand alone fashion. So the idea that your trading off of momentum is nothing more than a mere idea and a guess.
P.S. Just about 2 years ago when you use to type in the words "stock charts" in google there were probably only a couple hundred thousand results. Now 23 million! We now have a society of less intelligent investors ignoring information and news and now more charts that will help them predict the future. LMFAO!
Larger companies like AAPL and CMG, although high flying stocks by nature due to elements I won't talk about here, are excluded from this example because I want to make a point about stocks that have smaller market caps and can be moved inside of a decision made by one decent fund. But I won't use a stock example that trades under a $1,000,000 per day in dollar volume because of the wide spreads between the bids and offers that can make the stock seem tradeable to the naked eye but experience will show you that being able to step in front of large orders that are sometimes placed in a blink of an eye are not realistic.
Let's say company XYZ trades 3 million dollar shares a day. Hedge fund ABC gets a note from an insider or friend that company XYZ has good news and numbers coming out next week. Hedge fund ABC decides that they will invest $30 million dollars in company XYZ but they don't wish to do it all in one day since it might be difficult to maintain the attractive $5 dollars a share they wish to recieve. (Just remember that this example so far alone already debunks the idea that stocks move up based on momentum but instead some logical, or in some cases illogical factors based on hope, trust and deception) They also decide that if it takes longer than a week to acquire these shares then they risk rumors and other insiders getting the information and the price may get away from them as the super computer algorithms and the nosey ass quant strategies begin to take advantage of these alarming statistics when the fund begins its first day of operations.
So the fund begins its buying and the order is placed with a specialist who tries to buy the first $10 million dollars worth on Monday which brings that day's volume naturally to 5 million shares. Now lets say the fund was able to acquire his shares anywhere between $5 - $5.35 that day. Now the end of the day brainwashed day traders begin their systematic scans of stocks up 5% on the day and 75% increase the average volume. Now the degenerate gamblers are ready. Company XYZ opens up at $5.40 the next day due to macro market factors and some specifically interested pre(Lets keep something in mind here and that's that these smaller company's numbers are a lot more unpredictable since coverage of such companies and their sources of revenue can be less consistent. These small companies will sell stock at times in an attempt to help polish their balance sheets and the whole concept is just a mess imo and you can never trust their numbers unless you've truly done your homework, in which none of this buying would be a surprise or a guess anyway.) They must make this trade since the commitment to ideas and emotions are not isolated to individual trading minds alone. So the stock hits $5.50 Tuesday afternoon with above average volume coming from many sources but still none from fund ABC. The close is getting near and the opportunity is slipping away. The fund moves in with $100,000 clip buys every 10 min for the last three hours of trading to meet their quota. By then the price is moving up in .10 increments making it harder for the fund to continue their high probable idea since they know the unexpected news and numbers coming out in the next week are trying to be anticipated by those who are trying to buy the stock based on many different rumors and ideas, we call these guys over-night traders. So in hopes fund ABC being able to get their $45 million dollar investment (which btw if your smart enough to do your due diligence you'll probably learn that the fund is actually getting paid and reimbursed for purchasing common shares of company XYZ through some type of scheme one way or another) it decides to not take breaks in their buying because now they think the rumors are spreading like wildfire and the price can only go higher from here. The rest of the price move becomes history as daytraders and computers all over the world try to front run and guess what will happen next using nothing more than math and lines on a chart. So the idiotic reason these daytraders are buying have nothing to do with higher prices, so their disillusioned drawings were mere coincidences.
Just remember how easy it is for the fund to pull the plug and stop buying at any moment which would make the move more unpredictable since it wasn't based on anything solid. Therefore if momentum was to be considered as a valid theory or trading strategy one would have to assume that prices would need exact calculations based on laws such as the law of gravity. And since humans cannot be defined to one set of rules because we're emotional and our decisions can vary based on unpredictable emotional factors its fair to conclude that momentum is nothing more than an idea. To make my point clear, what I'm trying to say is that momentum is an affect and impossible to understand in a stand alone fashion. So the idea that your trading off of momentum is nothing more than a mere idea and a guess.
P.S. Just about 2 years ago when you use to type in the words "stock charts" in google there were probably only a couple hundred thousand results. Now 23 million! We now have a society of less intelligent investors ignoring information and news and now more charts that will help them predict the future. LMFAO!
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Chinese Government stopping Internet phone providers
In the latest attempt from corporations around the world that run our lives through bribery of men in gay dark suits working in governments, these companies are trying to stop Internet phone carriers like SKYPE from growing too big. Governments around the world know that eventually most things will be free and they are trying everything in their power to create laws and punish these companies. Experts say companies like SKYPE operate in a legal gray area and that the notice is a warning to them not to grow too big or to challenge the state-owned telecoms.
For any of you still asleep or just retardedly lazy to think what this means, this is an exact example of governments running their countries like a cartel. The insiders in these corporations are noticing numbers are slimming down and its because of VOIP. It's too bad you gay fucking corporate hungry pieces of shit. The Internet is changing the world faster than you could ever know. We will soon all be making free phone calls and there is not a god damn thing any internet regulator can do about it. The black market on the internet is impossible to control. The telecom industry is coming to an end and these corporate guerrillas are trying to lobby congressman in the government to stop this from happening. This, my friends, is what you call getting paid off. As long as money exists then stay tuned for another episode of the "F*ck show!"
Yahoo Article Link
For any of you still asleep or just retardedly lazy to think what this means, this is an exact example of governments running their countries like a cartel. The insiders in these corporations are noticing numbers are slimming down and its because of VOIP. It's too bad you gay fucking corporate hungry pieces of shit. The Internet is changing the world faster than you could ever know. We will soon all be making free phone calls and there is not a god damn thing any internet regulator can do about it. The black market on the internet is impossible to control. The telecom industry is coming to an end and these corporate guerrillas are trying to lobby congressman in the government to stop this from happening. This, my friends, is what you call getting paid off. As long as money exists then stay tuned for another episode of the "F*ck show!"
Yahoo Article Link
Wednesday, December 29, 2010
What is the ZEITGEIST MOVEMENT?
Started in late 2008, The Zeitgeist Movement exists as the communication and "Activist Arm" of an organization called The Venus Project. The Venus Project was started many decades ago by Social/Industrial Designer Jacque Fresco and his life's work has been to address and overcome the lack of sustainability existing currently across the world and work to incorporate new methods and values before it is too late. The basic pursuit of The Movement is to begin a transition into a new, sustainable social design called a “Resource-Based Economy”. This term was first coined by Jacque Fresco of the Venus Project and refers to an economic structure based exclusively on strategic resource management as the starting point for all decisions.
Basic Observations:
In the view of The Movement, the world today has become very detached from the physical world, with techniques of production and distribution that have no relationship to the environment. Our use of a profit based, “growth” driven monetary system has become one of the greatest destroyers of the natural world, not to mention sustainable human values. It is important to understand that the entire global economy requires “cyclical consumption” to operate, which means that money must constantly be circulating. Thus, new goods and services must be constantly introduced regardless of the state of the environment and actual human necessity. This "perpetual" approach has a fatal flaw, for resources as we know it are simply not infinite. Resources are finite and the Earth is essentially a closed system.
The true goal of any economy is to preserve - or "economize" - this is not occurring and cannot occur in a monetary driven system where labor for income requires consumer demand. We actually live in a global "anti-economy" by all rational standards.
Also, the intents inherent within a monetary system are counter progressive and derive a strategic edge from scarcity. This means that depleted resources are actually a positive thing for industry in the short term, for more money can be made off each respective unit. This is known as the basic law of supply & demand and hence “value” in economics. This creates a perverse reinforcement to ignore environmental problems and the negative consequences of scarcity, for it literally translates into profit. There is little intrinsic motivation to "solve" any problem or to make things that last in the current model. It is much more beneficial for jobs and hence profit to "service" things- not resolve them.
In other words, the system requires problems/constant consumer interest in order to work. The more people who have cancer in America, the better the economy due to expensive medical treatments. Needless to say, this generates an inherent disregard for human well being. The monetary arrangement, whether in the form of capitalism, communism, socialism, fascism, free-market or the like, is utterly detached from natural resources and thus human well-being. It is erroneously assumed that the incentive to seek money is also the incentive to help society. Nothing could be further from the truth. For example, every single product created by a corporation today is immediately inferior by design, for the market requirement to cut creation costs in favor of lowering the output "purchase price" to maintain a competitive edge, automatically reduces the quality of any given item by default. In other words it is impossible to create the “strategically best”, long lasting anything in our society and this translates into, again, outrageous amounts of resource waste. This is entirely and provably unsustainable as a social system and the world you are beginning to see emerge around you, with growing starvation, poverty, unemployment; along with the growing scarcity of water, food and arable land, is the result.
Likewise, most occupations are not directly related to the actual necessities of life. Rather, they are artificial concoctions in order to keep people employed so they can acquire purchasing power to keep cyclical consumption going. The very reality that each human being is required to be put in a position of servitude to a corporation or client in order to gain income to purchase the necessities of life also perpetuates extreme, needless waste... however, this time, it is the waste of the human mind and human life. In the modern world, advancements in science and technology have shown that we can automate a great deal. In fact, statistically speaking, the more we have applied mechanization to labor, the more productive things have become. Therefore, it is not only negligent for us to waste our lives waiting tables, working at a bus station, fixing cars, or other repetitive, monotonous jobs, it is also entirely irresponsible for us not to apply modern mechanization techniques to all industries possible for, apart from strategic resource management, this is a powerful way to achieve balance and abundance for all the world's people, reducing crime generating imbalances.
In other words, it is time to update society to present day knowledge, taking the carrying capacity of the earth into account and realigning our methods based not on the reward of monetary gain..but the goal of social sustainability as a whole.
Even with our current, destructive methods, the Earth is still abundant with resources. Today our practice of rationing resources through monetary methods is irrelevant and counter-productive to the well-being of people. Today’s society has access to highly advanced technologies and can easily provide more than enough for a very high standard of living for all the earth’s people. This is possible through the implementation of a Resource-Based Economy.
A Resource-Based Economy utilizes existing resources rather than money, and provides an equitable method of distribution in the most humane and efficient manner for the entire population. It is a system in which all natural, man-made, machine-made, and synthetic resources would be available without the use of money, credits, barter, or any other form of symbolic exchange. A Resource-Based Economy would utilize existing resources from the land and sea, and the means of production, such as physical equipment and industrial plants, to enhance the lives of the total population. In an economy based on resources, conservation and the most advanced methods of science and technology, we could easily produce all of the necessities of life and provide a high standard of living for all. To do this, we have to overcome our current, outdated, establishment practices. This is the purpose of The Zeitgeist Movement- to create a global awareness to thus transition into a new, sustainable direction for humanity as a whole.
-Peter Joseph of ZEITGEIST
OPEC policies not likely to stand i na way of $100 oil
Oh don't worry people, OPEC is going to allow for $100 oil. I mean why wouldn't they? The higher oil goes the more money they make. What is this sh*t of a headline. Why are these money hungry corporations doing everything they can to drain us of our money and put more profits into their pockets.
We the people MUST WAKE THE FUCK UP! Stop allowing big oil to run our lives. Change your energy habits. Start to research alternative energies. Once the world moves into alternative energies the world will be a whole different place. Can you imagine when our houses run on solar and wind energy and its all free. Then we can use and harness that power to grow our own gardens and heat our own homes. But then that would kill a trillion dollar industry wouldn't it? EXACTLY! Be part of the movement. I am going to begin to share and bring to light all the information I possibly can about alternative energies and how you can make the first step. This is about you! This isn't about waiting for the energy companies to change their ways. They don't want natural resourceful energy. Why would they? Their whole business model would die and so would the income they derive from it.
If you in fact invest in oil and have money in commodities, then please use the profits you make to invest in alternative energy. Like anti-venom, we must use their poison to heal ourselves but action must be taken!
We the people MUST WAKE THE FUCK UP! Stop allowing big oil to run our lives. Change your energy habits. Start to research alternative energies. Once the world moves into alternative energies the world will be a whole different place. Can you imagine when our houses run on solar and wind energy and its all free. Then we can use and harness that power to grow our own gardens and heat our own homes. But then that would kill a trillion dollar industry wouldn't it? EXACTLY! Be part of the movement. I am going to begin to share and bring to light all the information I possibly can about alternative energies and how you can make the first step. This is about you! This isn't about waiting for the energy companies to change their ways. They don't want natural resourceful energy. Why would they? Their whole business model would die and so would the income they derive from it.
If you in fact invest in oil and have money in commodities, then please use the profits you make to invest in alternative energy. Like anti-venom, we must use their poison to heal ourselves but action must be taken!
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